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*Issue #, if available:* N/A *Description of changes:* This PR adds support for Chronos-Bolt models. TODOs: - [x] Update evaluation script - [x] Fix and add tests for Bolt - [x] Update docstrings - [x] Update README example and mention Chronos-Bolt - [x] Update results bar plot in README - [x] Add versions for libraries in `pyproject.toml` - [x] Check that the training and eval scripts work - [x] Change `autogluon` -> `amazon` in model names Post Merge: - [ ] Update Citation style in README, both Github and HuggingFace repos - [ ] Remove note about AutoGluon - [ ] Update READMEs of original Chronos models to refer to Chronos-Bolt NOTE: To be merged after Chronos-Bolt models are available under the `amazon` namespace on HF. By submitting this pull request, I confirm that you can use, modify, copy, and redistribute this contribution, under the terms of your choice. --------- Co-authored-by: Abdul Fatir Ansari <ansarnd@amazon.de> Co-authored-by: Caner Turkmen <turkmen.ac@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: Lorenzo Stella <stellalo@amazon.com>
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| 1 | dataset | model | MASE | WQL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | electricity_15min | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 0.4115559557750193 | 0.08085148902238105 |
| 3 | m4_daily | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 3.1384304946608896 | 0.02129901023419818 |
| 4 | m4_hourly | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 0.7300874075370588 | 0.024686127211237932 |
| 5 | m4_monthly | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 0.9797264456494642 | 0.10297069145186107 |
| 6 | m4_weekly | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 2.0802214537692607 | 0.03959222330783002 |
| 7 | monash_electricity_hourly | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 1.530308399040219 | 0.10765947926209926 |
| 8 | monash_electricity_weekly | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 1.9249616494404531 | 0.07593976499899265 |
| 9 | monash_kdd_cup_2018 | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 0.6911172359201715 | 0.2863722811236367 |
| 10 | monash_london_smart_meters | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 0.8405756252443325 | 0.4300875548402115 |
| 11 | monash_pedestrian_counts | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 0.30836963006151696 | 0.2442543970311678 |
| 12 | monash_rideshare | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 0.8436277753840817 | 0.1363421932158997 |
| 13 | monash_temperature_rain | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 1.0176003932416664 | 0.6847726381172435 |
| 14 | taxi_30min | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 0.976277213614167 | 0.32770172988517626 |
| 15 | uber_tlc_daily | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 0.8694727058784919 | 0.0994889223610958 |
| 16 | uber_tlc_hourly | amazon/chronos-t5-small | 0.6738672444888639 | 0.1573990617753753 |