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*Issue #, if available:* N/A *Description of changes:* This PR adds support for Chronos-Bolt models. TODOs: - [x] Update evaluation script - [x] Fix and add tests for Bolt - [x] Update docstrings - [x] Update README example and mention Chronos-Bolt - [x] Update results bar plot in README - [x] Add versions for libraries in `pyproject.toml` - [x] Check that the training and eval scripts work - [x] Change `autogluon` -> `amazon` in model names Post Merge: - [ ] Update Citation style in README, both Github and HuggingFace repos - [ ] Remove note about AutoGluon - [ ] Update READMEs of original Chronos models to refer to Chronos-Bolt NOTE: To be merged after Chronos-Bolt models are available under the `amazon` namespace on HF. By submitting this pull request, I confirm that you can use, modify, copy, and redistribute this contribution, under the terms of your choice. --------- Co-authored-by: Abdul Fatir Ansari <ansarnd@amazon.de> Co-authored-by: Caner Turkmen <turkmen.ac@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: Lorenzo Stella <stellalo@amazon.com>
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| 1 | dataset | model | MASE | WQL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | electricity_15min | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 0.4676384089765091 | 0.0861229808117837 |
| 3 | m4_daily | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 3.1789994761356795 | 0.020961883512815756 |
| 4 | m4_hourly | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 0.9348005698736752 | 0.021087527284114574 |
| 5 | m4_monthly | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 0.965298729632761 | 0.0950380483243082 |
| 6 | m4_weekly | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 2.261575511029903 | 0.04093653263178429 |
| 7 | monash_electricity_hourly | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 1.5739346351263623 | 0.10808418398945202 |
| 8 | monash_electricity_weekly | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 1.8628689103722829 | 0.05773335283584782 |
| 9 | monash_kdd_cup_2018 | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 0.6869549985391232 | 0.28012801092758166 |
| 10 | monash_london_smart_meters | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 0.7284234905933779 | 0.33496438244693033 |
| 11 | monash_pedestrian_counts | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 0.32338947321773864 | 0.2530637833749087 |
| 12 | monash_rideshare | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 0.8562780835002918 | 0.1304317657933891 |
| 13 | monash_temperature_rain | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 0.9030707620825977 | 0.6064087080755548 |
| 14 | taxi_30min | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 0.9122159603256838 | 0.28002194370731626 |
| 15 | uber_tlc_daily | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 0.9087055420190513 | 0.11193388685815164 |
| 16 | uber_tlc_hourly | amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny | 0.6716569179590032 | 0.15310845458208555 |