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*Issue #, if available:* N/A *Description of changes:* This PR adds support for Chronos-Bolt models. TODOs: - [x] Update evaluation script - [x] Fix and add tests for Bolt - [x] Update docstrings - [x] Update README example and mention Chronos-Bolt - [x] Update results bar plot in README - [x] Add versions for libraries in `pyproject.toml` - [x] Check that the training and eval scripts work - [x] Change `autogluon` -> `amazon` in model names Post Merge: - [ ] Update Citation style in README, both Github and HuggingFace repos - [ ] Remove note about AutoGluon - [ ] Update READMEs of original Chronos models to refer to Chronos-Bolt NOTE: To be merged after Chronos-Bolt models are available under the `amazon` namespace on HF. By submitting this pull request, I confirm that you can use, modify, copy, and redistribute this contribution, under the terms of your choice. --------- Co-authored-by: Abdul Fatir Ansari <ansarnd@amazon.de> Co-authored-by: Caner Turkmen <turkmen.ac@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: Lorenzo Stella <stellalo@amazon.com>
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| 1 | dataset | model | MASE | WQL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | electricity_15min | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 0.44920089250026723 | 0.08115291306964295 |
| 3 | m4_daily | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 3.201966619014735 | 0.02143368277732494 |
| 4 | m4_hourly | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 0.8686298207618999 | 0.020368729287465817 |
| 5 | m4_monthly | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 0.9537717737278778 | 0.0939247807527992 |
| 6 | m4_weekly | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 2.1236755094789177 | 0.03785184715517262 |
| 7 | monash_electricity_hourly | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 1.3728906161330452 | 0.09452411472431674 |
| 8 | monash_electricity_weekly | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 1.8703239487242378 | 0.06648479071326366 |
| 9 | monash_kdd_cup_2018 | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 0.6458631909979771 | 0.25148489931571666 |
| 10 | monash_london_smart_meters | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 0.7126939688565166 | 0.326874529903459 |
| 11 | monash_pedestrian_counts | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 0.3015070035798365 | 0.2285590441093863 |
| 12 | monash_rideshare | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 0.823726965741684 | 0.12409769473500927 |
| 13 | monash_temperature_rain | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 0.8980348827836525 | 0.5984819599873311 |
| 14 | taxi_30min | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 0.7597818149895785 | 0.2348569752311862 |
| 15 | uber_tlc_daily | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 0.8460854328036702 | 0.09666483354735897 |
| 16 | uber_tlc_hourly | amazon/chronos-bolt-small | 0.6662547495017634 | 0.1524256346268063 |