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*Issue #, if available:* N/A *Description of changes:* This PR adds support for Chronos-Bolt models. TODOs: - [x] Update evaluation script - [x] Fix and add tests for Bolt - [x] Update docstrings - [x] Update README example and mention Chronos-Bolt - [x] Update results bar plot in README - [x] Add versions for libraries in `pyproject.toml` - [x] Check that the training and eval scripts work - [x] Change `autogluon` -> `amazon` in model names Post Merge: - [ ] Update Citation style in README, both Github and HuggingFace repos - [ ] Remove note about AutoGluon - [ ] Update READMEs of original Chronos models to refer to Chronos-Bolt NOTE: To be merged after Chronos-Bolt models are available under the `amazon` namespace on HF. By submitting this pull request, I confirm that you can use, modify, copy, and redistribute this contribution, under the terms of your choice. --------- Co-authored-by: Abdul Fatir Ansari <ansarnd@amazon.de> Co-authored-by: Caner Turkmen <turkmen.ac@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: Lorenzo Stella <stellalo@amazon.com>
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| 1 | dataset | model | MASE | WQL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | electricity_15min | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 0.44185193304080733 | 0.0731477927531107 |
| 3 | m4_daily | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 3.1342608828747456 | 0.0206872246743766 |
| 4 | m4_hourly | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 0.9218285923038745 | 0.024383114886067574 |
| 5 | m4_monthly | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 0.9628339921394529 | 0.09502498697494888 |
| 6 | m4_weekly | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 2.2330452369879255 | 0.039393515325238534 |
| 7 | monash_electricity_hourly | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 1.6195944363428718 | 0.11468972600782207 |
| 8 | monash_electricity_weekly | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 1.866105365159433 | 0.06019900031840434 |
| 9 | monash_kdd_cup_2018 | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 0.74790954883436 | 0.3012661161484388 |
| 10 | monash_london_smart_meters | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 0.7187830347765344 | 0.32984510693830227 |
| 11 | monash_pedestrian_counts | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 0.308633944815819 | 0.23331301029432483 |
| 12 | monash_rideshare | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 0.818948044410056 | 0.1297966960374544 |
| 13 | monash_temperature_rain | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 0.9035244443682741 | 0.605031064086567 |
| 14 | taxi_30min | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 0.812010120941363 | 0.25232294549917317 |
| 15 | uber_tlc_daily | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 0.8507256206478295 | 0.10101757743084538 |
| 16 | uber_tlc_hourly | amazon/chronos-bolt-mini | 0.6685484898085609 | 0.1515245941548974 |