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*Issue #, if available:* N/A *Description of changes:* This PR adds support for Chronos-Bolt models. TODOs: - [x] Update evaluation script - [x] Fix and add tests for Bolt - [x] Update docstrings - [x] Update README example and mention Chronos-Bolt - [x] Update results bar plot in README - [x] Add versions for libraries in `pyproject.toml` - [x] Check that the training and eval scripts work - [x] Change `autogluon` -> `amazon` in model names Post Merge: - [ ] Update Citation style in README, both Github and HuggingFace repos - [ ] Remove note about AutoGluon - [ ] Update READMEs of original Chronos models to refer to Chronos-Bolt NOTE: To be merged after Chronos-Bolt models are available under the `amazon` namespace on HF. By submitting this pull request, I confirm that you can use, modify, copy, and redistribute this contribution, under the terms of your choice. --------- Co-authored-by: Abdul Fatir Ansari <ansarnd@amazon.de> Co-authored-by: Caner Turkmen <turkmen.ac@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: Lorenzo Stella <stellalo@amazon.com>
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| 1 | dataset | model | MASE | WQL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | electricity_15min | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 0.41069374835605243 | 0.0703533790998506 |
| 3 | m4_daily | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 3.205192517121196 | 0.02110308498174413 |
| 4 | m4_hourly | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 0.8350129849014075 | 0.025353803894164 |
| 5 | m4_monthly | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 0.9491758928362231 | 0.09382496106659234 |
| 6 | m4_weekly | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 2.0847827409162742 | 0.03816605075768161 |
| 7 | monash_electricity_hourly | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 1.254966217685461 | 0.09442192616975713 |
| 8 | monash_electricity_weekly | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 1.8391546050108039 | 0.06410971963960499 |
| 9 | monash_kdd_cup_2018 | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 0.6405985809360102 | 0.2509172188706336 |
| 10 | monash_london_smart_meters | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 0.701398572604996 | 0.3218915088923906 |
| 11 | monash_pedestrian_counts | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 0.2646412642278343 | 0.18789459806066328 |
| 12 | monash_rideshare | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 0.7695376426829713 | 0.11637119433040358 |
| 13 | monash_temperature_rain | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 0.8983612698773724 | 0.6050555216496304 |
| 14 | taxi_30min | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 0.7688908266765317 | 0.2363178601205094 |
| 15 | uber_tlc_daily | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 0.8231767493519677 | 0.0926036406916842 |
| 16 | uber_tlc_hourly | amazon/chronos-bolt-base | 0.6632193728217927 | 0.14987786887626975 |