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*Issue #, if available:* N/A *Description of changes:* This PR adds support for Chronos-Bolt models. TODOs: - [x] Update evaluation script - [x] Fix and add tests for Bolt - [x] Update docstrings - [x] Update README example and mention Chronos-Bolt - [x] Update results bar plot in README - [x] Add versions for libraries in `pyproject.toml` - [x] Check that the training and eval scripts work - [x] Change `autogluon` -> `amazon` in model names Post Merge: - [ ] Update Citation style in README, both Github and HuggingFace repos - [ ] Remove note about AutoGluon - [ ] Update READMEs of original Chronos models to refer to Chronos-Bolt NOTE: To be merged after Chronos-Bolt models are available under the `amazon` namespace on HF. By submitting this pull request, I confirm that you can use, modify, copy, and redistribute this contribution, under the terms of your choice. --------- Co-authored-by: Abdul Fatir Ansari <ansarnd@amazon.de> Co-authored-by: Caner Turkmen <turkmen.ac@gmail.com> Co-authored-by: Lorenzo Stella <stellalo@amazon.com>
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| 1 | dataset | model | MASE | WQL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | electricity_15min | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 0.5091784254243783 | 0.08236334376190152 |
| 3 | m4_daily | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 3.203164895930929 | 0.022152192084951595 |
| 4 | m4_hourly | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 0.8171321441164723 | 0.027490760558343874 |
| 5 | m4_monthly | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 1.005839207921131 | 0.10388015368939435 |
| 6 | m4_weekly | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 2.2148332313370735 | 0.043429655561156084 |
| 7 | monash_electricity_hourly | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 1.6190021089002615 | 0.10967453530956882 |
| 8 | monash_electricity_weekly | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 2.0774597917676734 | 0.08159998975612164 |
| 9 | monash_kdd_cup_2018 | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 0.6730886827096076 | 0.2616610603634618 |
| 10 | monash_london_smart_meters | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 0.8830447519225436 | 0.4499607073491794 |
| 11 | monash_pedestrian_counts | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 0.3042105240185045 | 0.23387631681117071 |
| 12 | monash_rideshare | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 0.8431350112476247 | 0.1378817076926394 |
| 13 | monash_temperature_rain | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 0.9887398447367799 | 0.6957797286648015 |
| 14 | taxi_30min | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 1.035544060665179 | 0.3450476958104713 |
| 15 | uber_tlc_daily | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 0.93025919000775 | 0.1105323649942084 |
| 16 | uber_tlc_hourly | amazon/chronos-t5-tiny | 0.697558054147913 | 0.16320255844336232 |